A new Gallup report finds Democrats are losing ground with African Americans and Hispanics.
Traditionally aligned with the party, Democratic support has reached new lows for both groups. However, they have gained ground with other demographics, such as adults with postgraduate education. Even for Gallup, “the 27% of U.S. adults identifying as Democrats and the 43% identifying as or leaning Democratic are both new lows.”
Forty-five percent of U.S. adults identify as Republican or Republican-leaning, with 52% being men compared to 40% of women. Of the 43% of Americans who identify as Democrat or Democrat-leaning, 49% are women and 37% are men.
Nearly half (47%) of young adults aged 18 to 29 identify as Democrat or Democrat-leaning. Likewise, almost one in four members of this age demographic (39%) are Republican or Republican-leaning.
Respondents in the 30 to 49 age bracket (44%, Democrat; 42%, Republican) and those 65 and older (47%, Democrat; 46%, Republican) are almost evenly split. Americans 50 to 64 years old show the widest gap, at ten percent points (50%, Democrat; 40%, Republican).
The size of the community also makes a difference. More than half (57%) of those surveyed who live in a large city identify as Democrat or Democrat-leaning (32%, Republican). In comparison, 57% of respondents who live in a town or rural area identify as Republican or Republican-leaning.
Changes in political party affiliation were “modest” between 1999-2013. But since the election of Donald Trump, “those differences have expanded greatly.”
“Reflecting the national trend, several key subgroups of U.S. adults showed declining Democratic support in 2023, which in most cases meant an increase in the group’s Republican identification and leaning combined with a drop in Democratic identification and leaning,” Jeffrey M. Jones, senior editor and Linda Saad, the director of U.S social research, wrote. “The major subgroup bucking that is adults with postgraduate education, who have become one of the most Democratic-leaning groups in the U.S.”
Read the full report here.
Director of The Raceless Gospel Initiative, an associate editor, host of the Good Faith Media podcast, “The Raceless Gospel” and author of Take Me to the Water: The Raceless Gospel as Baptismal Pedagogy for a Desegregated Church.
